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# 22.05.2019 - 08:07:36
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"WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections 2019 Spring TrainingProspectsCommentaryNews and NotesGambling & OddsDodgers 2019 Over/Under PredictionsNew Rollie Fingers Jersey ,121commentsCheck out our stat predictions for the season!PDTShareTweetShareShareDodgers 2019 Over/Under PredictionsGary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY SportsIt’s just about that time, and before the season starts, let’s look at some potential over/under propositions when it comes to the Dodgers and their players.I’m going to try to steer clear of any player involved in my 5 bold predictions article from yesterday. 1. Walker Buehler wins: 12.5This one seems pretty easy to me. In his first full MLB season, Buehler notched just eight wins. He logged 137 1/3 innings, but he should best that total by a significant amount in 2019. He’s a darkhorse Cy Young candidate to some and could, realistically, be the team’s best pitcher by season’s end.Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY SportsThe thing working against Buehler is the fact that no Dodger pitcher won more than 11 games last season, and that was Rich Hill. With the way the Dodgers are projected to handle their pitchers, it isn’t out of the realm of possibility that Buehler could miss out on some win opportunities if he throws too many pitches early in a game (thus being removed before the end of his fifth inning of work) and the team may not have scored enough runs (but that’s a problem for any pitcher). In 2017, the Dodgers had three pitchers win 13 or more games.Despite the potential for early exits, Buehler had only two such starts in 2018. The truth is http://www.athleticsfanproshop.com/authentic-khris-davis-jersey , he should pitch well enough to shatter the 12.5 win plateau. Over. 2. Justin Turner batting average: .290This one seems like a no-brainer as well. Since joining the Dodgers, Turner has a .305 batting average. Before joining, he hit just .260. In the last two seasons alone, Turner has hit .322 and .312. It seems that Turner is only getting better with age, as the now-34-year-old is projected to hit anywhere from .286 to .319 — depending which projection system you want to use.Richard Mackson-USA TODAY SportsTurner is also a launch angle darling, and while fly balls aren’t good for BABIP, Turner hits the ball hard enough in the air to rack up the extra base hits. It seems about the only way Turner won’t hit better than .290 is if he’s consistently hurt, but he seems plenty healthy so far this spring. Over.3. A.J. Pollock home runs/stolen bases: 15.5/24.5I’ve included both of these numbers for Pollock. They almost seem a bit backward, as he’s coming off a career-high 21 home runs, which also came with a career-best .228 isolated slugging percentage. If new Dodgers’ hitting coach Robert Van Scoyoc can continue to get Pollock to tap into his power (as he did last year as the Diamondbacks’ hitting strategist), Pollock should shatter the 15.5 home run mark. Over.Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY SportsThe stolen bases are a bit more difficult. Pollock swiped 39 in his banner 2015 season but hasn’t stolen more than 20 in a season since then. A lot of that has to do with the fact he’s missed time due to injuries Dave Henderson Jersey , but also when you’re hitting for more power (as he has in 2017-18), there’s less incentive to run. I think he’ll get his fair share of steals, but I think he comes up short of 24.5 on this one. Under. 4. Joc Pederson home runs: 24.5In three of his first four full MLB seasons, Pederson has averaged 25.3 home runs. The outlier is his down 2017 season that saw him hit just 11. On power potential alone, this seems like an easy over. But there’s a wrinkle with this one, and that wrinkle’s name is Alex Verdugo.Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY SportsVerdugo is one of the Dodgers’ Top 2 prospects and has spent the last two seasons almost exclusively in Triple-A. He has nothing left to prove down there and is going to make the Opening Day roster. With Pollock set to be the every day center fielder and Cody Bellinger to replace Yasiel Puig in right field, that doesn’t leave a lot of playing time for Verdugo. He’ll get some plate appearances, but a lot of them could come in left field, and that could come at the expense of Pederson’s playing time. Oh, and Chris Taylor still exists, who will also get some plate appearances as a left fielder.If this were just on Pederson’s merits Dennis Eckersley Jersey , I’d take the over. But since there are other factors to consider with this one, I just can’t do it. Under. That’s what speed do?"Buster Olney of ESPN reports the Royals have signed outfielder Billy Hamilton to a one-year deal worth $5.25 million with $1 million incentives. Jim Bowden of The Athletic first reported on Monday that the Royals were “close to agreement” on a deal. The 28-year old switch-hitter was non-tendered by the Reds last week after hitting .236/.299/.327 with 34 steals in 153 games. In just over five seasons with the Reds, Hamilton hit .245/.298/.333.Hamilton has made his living through his legs, being the fastest basestealer in baseball over the last few seasons. No one in baseball has more steals since 2014 than his 264, and he has been successful over 81% of the time. He has been a very strong defender in centerfield, ranking as the fourth-best defensive centerfielder according to Fangraphs last year. However Hamilton has been one of the worst hitters in baseball, by wRC+. He has a below-average walk rate of 6.9%, coupled with a low-batting average to give him a sub-.300 on-base percentage each season except for 2016, his best offensive season. He has the fifth-lowest hard-hit rate in baseball since his debut in 2014MLB.com reporter Jeffrey Flanagan writes “there is a feeling with Royals officials that Hamilton’s skill set might play better at spacious Kauffman Stadium as opposed to the Reds’ band box of Great American Ball Park.” Hamilton was a much better hitter in his career at Great American Ball Park with a .674 OPS in contrast to his .591 OPS on the road. Hamilton would be under club control through the 2019 season. Brett Phillips and Brian Goodwin had been slated to compete for playing time in centerfield. Both are left-handed, and Hamilton is a slightly better hitter from the left-side as well. Phillips still has an option year remaining, as does corner outfielder Jorge Bonifacio. Hamilton can’t get on base Santiago Casilla Jersey , and flies around the bases, so in many ways, he is the perfect fit for the Royals. Dayton Moore has long emphasized speed and defense up the middle, and with Hamilton in the fold, the Royals will boast two middle infielders and a centerfielder who are all capable of stealing 50+ bases this year - Adalberto Mondesi, Whit Merrifield, and Hamilton. Update at 11:15 am CT: Dayton Moore comments: